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Josh Turek vs. Ashley Hinson: Latest polls as Iowa Senate candidates debate - Newsweek (opens in a new tab)
Josh Turek vs. Ashley Hinson: Latest polls as Iowa Senate candidates debate · 2026-10-03
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Josh Turek vs. Ashley Hinson: Latest polls as Iowa Senate candidates debate - Newsweek
Josh Turek vs. Ashley Hinson: Latest polls as Iowa Senate candidates debate · 2026-10-03
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Suffolk University poll
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NYT / Siena poll of likely voters (Senate races)
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Quantus Insights: Hinson holds narrow edge in Iowa Senate race
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Fox News poll: Turek-Hinson close Iowa Senate race
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2026 midterm elections in Iowa, September 2026
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Claim 1 of 7Not checkedA Suffolk University poll released Wednesday gives Josh Turek a four-point advantage over Ashley Hinson, while other recent surveys show a closely divided contest.View evidenceHide evidence
As statedfour-point advantage
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Claim 2 of 7Not checkedThe latest Suffolk University survey puts Turek at 48 percent and Hinson at 44 percent, with libertarian Thomas Laehn at about 2 percent, based on 500 likely voters surveyed October 1–4 with a margin of error of plus or minus 4.4 percentage points.View evidenceHide evidence
As stated48% to 44%; +/- 4.4 points
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Claim 3 of 7Not checkedSuffolk’s previous August survey had Hinson ahead 45 percent to 41 percent, indicating a reversal in the race.View evidenceHide evidence
As stated45% to 41%
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Claim 4 of 7Not checkedA New York Times/Siena University poll showed Hinson ahead 48 percent to 47 percent, while Quantus Insights and Fox News polls also found the race within a few points.View evidenceHide evidence
As stated48% to 47%; 47.1% to 45.8%; 49% to 47%
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Claim 5 of 7Not checkedPrediction markets and election forecasters still treat the Iowa Senate race as highly competitive rather than settled, with Kalshi and Polymarket slightly favoring Hinson and Cook Political Report rating the race a toss up.View evidenceHide evidence
As statedabout 55% Hinson / 45% Turek in prediction markets
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Claim 6 of 7Not checkedAffordability is central to the contest, with groceries, fuel, and healthcare costs named by Iowa likely voters as important household-budget issues.View evidenceHide evidence
As statedgroceries and fuel each about 28%; healthcare about 20%
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Claim 7 of 7Not checkedThe article says a Turek victory would end an 18-year Democratic Senate-election drought in Iowa, but one competitive midterm cannot by itself establish a new partisan alignment.View evidenceHide evidence
As stated18-year drought
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