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Experts Identified The Gravest Health Threats Facing Humanity – Two Have 'Extinction Potential' : ScienceAlert (opens in a new tab)

sciencealert.com · 2026-10-12

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1

The story

Experts Identified The Gravest Health Threats Facing Humanity – Two Have 'Extinction Potential' : ScienceAlert

sciencealert.com · 2026-10-12

The story’s checkable claims.

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2

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Open claim evidence
3
Source paper

Source layer

The 2 papers the story cites

Source study separated from background citations.

The research anchor for the report.

Then inspect each claim

Evidence layer

Claim by claim

The source study was found, but the study's evidence could not be profiled, so these claims couldn't be checked.

Claim 1 of 6Not checkedA sweeping international assessment published in The Lancet cataloged 17 major global health threats facing humanity this century and emphasized that preparedness is key.View evidenceHide evidence

Not checked

The source study was found, but this claim couldn't be checked against it.

Claim 2 of 6Not checkedThe researchers used modeling to estimate how much death and disability could potentially be avoided for each threat between 2025 and 2100, measured in disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs).View evidenceHide evidence

As statedbetween 2025 and 2100

Not checked

The source study was found, but this claim couldn't be checked against it.

Claim 3 of 6Not checkedTwo threats were rated as carrying "extinction potential" for humanity between now and 2100: malicious AI, including using AI to create new bioweapons, and nuclear conflict with nuclear famine.View evidenceHide evidence

As statedbetween now and 2100

Not checked

The source study was found, but this claim couldn't be checked against it.

Claim 4 of 6Not checkedThe report says 15 other catastrophic risks each had more than 1 billion potentially avoidable DALYs between now and 2100.View evidenceHide evidence

As statedmore than 1 billion potentially avoidable DALYs

Not checked

The source study was found, but this claim couldn't be checked against it.

Claim 5 of 6Not checkedAmong those risks, obesity was identified as the largest potentially avoidable burden, at an estimated 23.1 billion DALYs, followed by low educational attainment and income inequality.View evidenceHide evidence

As stated23.1 billion DALYs

Not checked

The source study was found, but this claim couldn't be checked against it.

Claim 6 of 6Not checkedThe researchers recommended building and funding threat-ready health systems, increasing investment in breakthrough innovation, and creating a "Monitor of 21st Century Global Threats to Health."View evidenceHide evidence

Not checked

The source study was found, but this claim couldn't be checked against it.

Finally, the search trail

Method layer

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The Lancet Commission on 21st century global threats to health

The Lancet · 2026

Source record (opens in a new tab)

Why this one

Near certain

NewsLink found the paper. Tessa is where you inspect it deeply.

Papers considered

The selected paper, plus nearby candidates.

Crossref, PubMed, Europe PMC · 17 candidate papers

And 11 more candidates considered.